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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Product Discovery Test Card |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 20-35 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Test Card with a pre-set threshold |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ChangeDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |
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