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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations Family Tree Analysis |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-4 h | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Family Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic Measures | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |
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