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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Knowledge Modeling Event Modeling |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Event Modeling connects business workflows with commands, events, and views into one coherent mental model. It helps design behavior, UI, and technical slices from the same underlying logic. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-6 h | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Event Model, UI Flow, Commands, Read Models | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EventsBlueprintDomain-Driven DesignBehavior | ChangeDecisionStrategy |
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