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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Operations Family Tree Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Family Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic Measures |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic |
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