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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Decision Rights Mapping |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In organizations with many stakeholders, it often blurs who actually decides and who is merely consulted. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Decision Rights matrix and an agreement. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min | 10-30 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Decision Rights Matrix, Agreement | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionGovernanceAlignmentResponsibility | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting |
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