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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 60-180 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-20 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | ChangeDecisionStrategy |
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