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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Decision Making Decision Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | DecisionTreeOptions |
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