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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | SensemakingDecisionRationale |
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