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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 45-75 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Test Matrix, Test Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | SensemakingDecisionRationale | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions |
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