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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | SensemakingDecisionRationale | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis |
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