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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Agile Affinity Estimation |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |
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