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Criterion
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
30-90 min30-90 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-63-122-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split CandidatesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
DecisionTreeOptions
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB