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| Criterion |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 60-180 min | 1-4 Wochen | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 4-20 | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationExpertsForecasting |
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