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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 2-6 h | 30-60 min | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 3-10 | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tagsno overlap | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |
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