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Criterion
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of a calibrated five-by-five risk matrix with response cards.
Decision Making
Risk Matrix
Purposedifferent
A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLow
Timedifferent
2-6 h20–45 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-8Small cross-functional group3-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logRisk Matrix, Top Risk List
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration for Theory of Constraints Thinking Process.
Systems Thinking
Theory of Constraints Thinking Process
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis