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Criterion
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLow
Timedifferent
2-6 h20–45 min15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
3-8Small cross-functional group2-6
Formatsame
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis