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Criterion
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
2-6 h45-60 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
3-102-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Event Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Theory of Constraints Thinking Process.
Systems Thinking
Theory of Constraints Thinking Process