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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments.When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-4 h60-180 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-84-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanChallenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation PlanCynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes
Tags1 shared
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
RiskDecisionSensemaking
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem