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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Opportunity Solution Tree |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-2 h Setup, laufend | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-6 | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning Log | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |
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