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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Incident Timeline Analysis.
DevOps
Incident Timeline Analysis
Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For an incident with an unclear sequence, the method makes the timeline precisely visible. It separates perception, reaction, and delay so cause and effect become more clearly readable.After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min60-180 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-103-12
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanIncident Timeline, Evidence Log, Delay Analysis, Improvement ActionsPostmortem Doc, Action Items, Timeline
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
IncidentTimelineSite Reliability Engineering
Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command