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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Funnel Analysis workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
Funnel Analysis
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When many visitors or users drop off along the way, the reason behind the number often stays hidden. Funnel Analysis exposes these transitions and makes visible exactly where the path collapses.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-3 h20-35 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-51-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanFunnel report, Drop-off analysis, Optimization hypothesesTest Card with a pre-set threshold
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
AnalyticsConversionGrowth
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test