View methods side by side.
Choose up to four methods. Add them using the search and share the comparison by copying its link.
| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Assumption Surfacing | ![]() Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud | ![]() Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 60-120 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report |
Tags1 shared | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions |
Often compared together
Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.






