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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min60-120 minHalf day
Participantsdifferent
2-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsStress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of Value Chain Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Value Chain Analysis
Paper illustration of VRIO Framework with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
VRIO Framework
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping