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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Dual Track Agile with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Dual-Track Agile
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-90 minLaufend, Wochen bis Monate20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-84-10Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDiscovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte StoriesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
AgileDiscoveryDelivery
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Communication Plan
Delivery
Communication Plan
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay