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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Dual Track Agile with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Dual-Track Agile
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 minLaufend, Wochen bis Monate1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
2-84-101-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDiscovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte StoriesArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
AgileDiscoveryDelivery
SensemakingDecisionRationale
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop