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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy McKinsey 7S |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | McKinsey 7S checks whether Strategy, Structure, Systems, Shared Values, Skills, Style, and Staff fit together. Organizational misalignments become visible across multiple levers as a result. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | 7S Assessment, Alignment Gaps, Change Actions |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | OrganizationStrategyAlignmentChange |
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