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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Knowledge Modeling Concept Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Concept Mapping arranges terms and relationships in a network that makes subject-matter connections tangible. It fits when a topic needs to be understood structurally rather than linearly. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Concept Map, Relationship Labels, Knowledge Gaps |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | KnowledgeConceptsMappingSensemaking |
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