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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Concierge MVP
Product Discovery
Concierge MVP
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When an idea can first fail or grow through genuine hands-on support, it relies on manual work instead of automation. It shows whether user value holds up even under manual execution.For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-4 Wochen1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
2-83-10 Kunden3-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanConcierge Learnings, Service Blueprint, MVP RisksChallenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
MVPValidationServiceDiscovery
RiskDecisionSensemaking
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop