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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |  Product Discovery Test Card |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. |
Complexitysame | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 20-45 min | 20-35 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-10 | 1-5 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events | Test Card with a pre-set threshold |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |
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