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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for ABC Analysis
Operations
ABC Analysis
Paper illustration of a review with planned work, actual event sequence, comparison, and assigned improvement actions.
Operations
After-Action Review
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention.After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement.
Complexitysame
LowLowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min30-60 min20-45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-53-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control ListLessons learned, Action items, Event summary
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio
LearningOperationsImprovement
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calibrated five-by-five risk matrix with response cards.
Decision Making
Risk Matrix
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB