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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Systems Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Systems Mapping
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Systems Mapping arranges elements, relationships, and boundaries so a complex field becomes legible at a glance. The overview stabilizes the overall picture before detail work or steering begins.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-3 h60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-122-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingSystem Map, Dependencies, Leverage PointsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
Systems thinkingMappingBoundariesChange
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing