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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of Pretotyping with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Pretotyping
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.Pretotyping clarifies whether a customer problem and solution idea create enough real demand. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence, and captures the result as a pretotyping sketch, test setup, and conversion data.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLow
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-5 TageStunden bis wenige Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-8Nutzertraffic1-4
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NotePretotyping sketch, Test setup, Conversion data, Go or no-go decision
Tags1 shared
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ValidationDemandMVP
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing