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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-5 TageMehrere Tage bis Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-8Nutzertraffic2-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Family Tree Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Family Tree Analysis