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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of GIST Planning with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
GIST Planning
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.GIST Planning helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities. It links customer value, product logic, and decision priorities, and captures the result as goals, an idea bank, and a step-project list.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-5 TageWochen bis Monate je Goal
Participantsdifferent
2-8Nutzertraffic3-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteGoals, Idea bank, Step-project list, Tasks, Learning reports
Tags1 shared
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
RoadmapOutcomesPlanningExperiments
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing