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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-82-63-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test