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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of RAID Log with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Delivery
RAID Log
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min30 min Setup, dann laufend1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-81-3 maintaining, briefing for everyoneNutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingRAID Log, Status Report SourceClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card