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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of MVP Test Matrix with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
MVP Test Matrix
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min45-75 min60-120 min
Participantssame
2-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingTest Matrix, Test PlanConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test