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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 minHalf day60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-122-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingLeverage Map, Action StrategyConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing