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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Operations Family Tree Analysis |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-60 min | 2-4 h | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Family Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic Measures | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |
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