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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.
Complexitysame
MediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min45-120 min
Participantsdifferent
2-82-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingChange Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action List
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas