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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
45-60 min30-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-83-121-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing