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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration of Family Tree Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Family Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-4 Wochen2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
2-81-62-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryFamily Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic Measures
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test