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| Criterion |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 2-4 h | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingDecisionRationale | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals |
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