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| Criterion |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 10-20 min daily | 60-120 min | 0.5-2 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 1 | 3-10 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options |
Tagsno overlap | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning |
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