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| Criterion |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-20 min daily | 1-4 Wochen | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1 | 6-30 Experten | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tagsno overlap | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
