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| Criterion |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-20 min daily | 1-4 Wochen | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |
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