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Criterion
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLow
Timedifferent
30-90 min1-4 h or multiple rounds1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-124-12 ExpertenNutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping