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Criterion
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
30-90 min20–45 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-12Small cross-functional group1-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing