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Criterion
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
30-90 min60-120 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-122-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test