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Criterion
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min90-180 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-123-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsCoD Table, Prioritization SequenceAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a calibrated five-by-five risk matrix with response cards.
Decision Making
Risk Matrix
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test